Sunday, February 24, 2013

Money, Power and Wall Street

Episode one of Money, Power and Wall Street, FRONTLINE’s four-hour investigation into the global financial crisis, received a Writers Guild Award in the Documentary – Current Events category last night. Produced by Martin Smith and Marcela Gaviria, the episode explored how the the rapid rise of credit default swaps, originally designed to stabilize the economic system, brought the global economy to its knees.
Today it also was announced that the full four-hour series produced by Martin Smith, Marcela Gaviria, Michael Kirk, Jim Gilmore and Mike Wiser will receive the George Polk Awardfor Documentary Television Reporting in April. From the award citation:
It provided a thorough examination of the epic global financial crisis, from its origins to the present day. The team drew on more than 140 in-depth interviews, conducted around the world, with people tangentially or directly responsible for the crisis. In blunt, first-hand accounts, viewers were given an unprecedented look inside key decisions that affected the lives of ordinary people around the country and a play-by-play road map of what ultimately would shatter the global economy. The series also dissected and distilled down the complicated subject of the modern credit derivative market and provided a sober look inside the struggle to rescue and repair this country’s battered economy.
You can watch all four hours of the series on our website, and also watch, read and sharedozens of in-depth interviews that provide first-hand testimony inside the financial crisis and its aftermath.
WATCH THE SERIES

EPISODE ONE






EPISODE TWO




EPISODE THREE





EPISODE FOUR




==============================================>
Sorry folks,  I haven't finished watching the whole thing but...  Very early on in this crisis we learned from the real economists who railed against this insanity,  the loans were not going to the people who could not afford them.  Those people were blissfully unaware that they could even qualify for loans,  so they did not apply in any great numbers.  Of course,  bankers and brokers who had knowledge would seek out high risk borrowers,   because they knew they could create and profit from the paper.  But then,  since these people also knew what they were doing,  why would they need a borrower of any type?  So,  the few people who were knowledgeable invented "straw buyers" and "straw sellers",  so that they could control the entire buying and selling process and pocket all of the money,  then simply walk away and let the "straw buyer" default.  Usually these straw buyers were drug dealers,  meth labs,  homeless people and other such people being victimized.

Meanwhile,  the ready credit in an easy money market,  made people who were long time home owners,  familiar with refi strategies,  eager to draw down profits from homes that were appreciating 10% each year.  First time and poor,  high risk home buyers tend to be very conservative about what they buy,  because they're intending to keep the home and not willing to risk losing it.  While long time home owners,  more familiar with finance,  mortgages and loans,  were eager to take advantage of this "easy money",  they knew and could see as increased equity in their homes due to the 10% /year appreciation.  Knowledge became power for them.  A 250k home was appreciating at a rate of 25k per year compounded. so,  3 or 4 years down the road,  the home owner would say hey,  this house is worth 350k why not refinance it and take some of that 100k appreciation?   Why not indeed,  since next year that same house would be worth 35k more and you could sell it and pass the mortgage (which includes the money you've just borrowed) off onto the new buyer.

The economist who first explained the crisis to us also told us that less than 1% of the people getting these subprime loans were people who should not have gotten them,  the rest went to people who knew what they were doing.  The markets locked up with fraud was discovered in the market and that prevented the buyers of CDO from investing any more money.  The banks couldn't sell any more paper,  thus they could not raise any more money to make any new loans.  Just use the search box up at page top and plug in "29 trillion",  have a nice read. 

2 comments:

Obwon said...

I started watching and sure enough, they're pushing the same meme that the Bush White house and
the conservatives used to try and escape blame for their mismanagement of the American economy.

Does anyone really think that a first time home buyer, struggling to get their first mortgage accomplished,
is going to be looking at the loan in this way? Gee, a nice low front end, that allows me to buy
more home than I can otherwise afford, and will have to either be refinanced in 2 or three years
or sold, is a really great deal! Or would they be thinking hey I want to live in this house for a while and
I'm not planning to sell it. It was hard enough getting my first mortgage, Do I really want to go through
this again in two years? Hardly! They're going to be confused and frightened by anything out of
the ordinary like escalating payments.

Meanwhile, long time homeowners have a very different view of their homes, borne of knowledge
of having refinanced it or talked with people and family members who have. They are knowledgeable
about credit and finance to know how to determine how much equity they have in their homes, because
they have to watch their credit rating. So they've become accustomed to watching their homes value,
and are probably sufficiently sophisticated about home ownership to be looking for advantageous
exit points and refinance strategies. And that is why the greatest bulk of subprime mortgages and
loans, went to people who were knowledgeable to seek them out, because they were comfortable
with managing their lives around financial strategies.

It's a case of where "wise men rushed in, where the newbies feared to tread!"

Obwon said...

Okay gang, how wonderful is that? Just finished chapter one and wow, the "Nobody knew, who could have known, we were all just kept in the dark".

Yeah... RIGHT!!! There was nobody watching the vault, right? These Banksters had pressured Washington, to effectively remove the back wall of the vault. Their reasoning was that without a back wall, the vault would be able to hold more money. We're to believe that nobody, but nobody, was concerned that, a bank vault without a back wall just might be insecure. So they just gave the go ahead to their employee's to begin filling the bank with money.

Well, things have collapsed, the vaults have become predictably empty, but notice that none of the people who gave the orders to put the public's funds into those insecure vaults, has missed one single meal! Gee, since that's how they make their living, managing the public's money for them. How come when they so grossly mismanage everything, they're able to walk away with lobster, steak and shrimp? How did they manage to "dodge the bullet" nobody was able to see coming? Or... Better yet, why are they still calling the shots? Are we happy to be living under a Catastrocrasty? A failureocracy? Have we become an Idiocratic republic? Inquiring minds sure want to know, eh?